Investment Letter Q2 2024

“Semiconductors are the silent driver of all the advancements in the digital world.” Morris Chang, founder of TSMC The second quarter was a tale of two halves, particularly in equity markets. Until mid-May, with investor sentiment buoyed by the prospect of cooling...

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Re-Emerging Markets

In recent memory, emerging markets have been somewhat absent from the equity market party. The benchmark equity index, MSCI Emerging Markets (MSCI EM), still sits some 15% below its 2007 peak. On the surface this makes sense, as investors in emerging markets must...

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Investment Letter Q1 2024

“Courage is willingness to take the risk once you know the odds. Optimistic overconfidence means you are taking the risk because you don’t know the odds. It’s a big difference.” Daniel Kahneman The year so far has seen incremental evidence pointing towards stickier...

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Family Engagement

‘Difference is the essence of humanity’1. As true today as it was in 1998, it can be said that without our differences, our social and professional lives are entirely predictable. Whilst this truth is rarely disputed, the ability to recognise it brings great...

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Investment Letter Q4 2023

“Success means being very patient, but aggressive when it’s time.” Charles Munger We finished the year with a significant shift in interest rate expectations, a central component of the financial system. With rates having risen substantially over the last two years,...

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Fixed Income – 
Gilt Trip

In November 2020, the global market value of negative-yielding bonds, which require their holders to pay for the privilege of owning them, reached 18 trillion US dollars. By January 2023, following an aggressive interest rate hiking cycle by central banks, that figure...

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Investment Letter Q3 2023

"Winning or losing of the election is less important than strengthening the country.” Indira Gandhi The third quarter in markets was characterised by a shift in focus from inflation to growth. Inflation data in developed markets, whilst still elevated, showed some...

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Investment Letter Q2 2023

“Innovation and corporate governance are extremely important to improve the profitability of Japanese companies and encourage them to increase wages, capital spending, and dividends.” Shinzo Abe, former Prime Minister of Japan If markets in 2022 were characterised by...

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Commodities – 
Pedal to the Metal

Commodity companies have suffered years of underinvestment which has created an ever-widening gap between future demand and future supply. As the world transitions to a more sustainable future, we believe commodity equities currently offer investors an attractive...

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Investment Letter Q1 2023

“Banking is very good business if you don't do anything dumb." Warren Buffett This year started with a sharp rally in equity markets. Having entered the year with our portfolios cautiously positioned, including a higher cash balance than we would ordinarily hold, we...

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